Euro 2020

European Championship | Quarter-Finals

Jul 3, 2021 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Czech Republic
1 - 2
Denmark

Schick (49')
Krmencik (84'), Kalas (86')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Delaney (5'), Dolberg (42')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 49.88%. A win for Czech Republic had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.58%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Czech Republic win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Denmark in this match.

Result
Czech Republic	Draw	Denmark
28.21%	21.9%	49.88%

Both teams to score 65.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.9%

34.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.02%

55.98%

Czech Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.15%

23.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.97%

58.02%

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.91%

14.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.3%

41.7%

Score Analysis

Czech Republic 28.21%

Denmark 49.88%

Draw 21.9%

Czech Republic	Draw	Denmark
2-1 @ 6.77% 1-0 @ 4.82% 2-0 @ 3.45% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 1.65% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.83% Total : 28.21%	1-1 @ 9.44% 2-2 @ 6.63% 0-0 @ 3.36% 3-3 @ 2.07% Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.9%	1-2 @ 9.25% 0-1 @ 6.58% 0-2 @ 6.45% 1-3 @ 6.04% 2-3 @ 4.33% 0-3 @ 4.21% 1-4 @ 2.96% 2-4 @ 2.12% 0-4 @ 2.07% 1-5 @ 1.16% 3-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.69% Total : 49.88%