We said: Tunisia 2-0 Malawi
Malawi have failed to score in consecutive matches in World Cup qualifying, while Tunisia have not conceded in seven of their last eight such fixtures.
The North African hosts should secure maximum points in round six's contest to continue their unbeaten run in this series and possibly extend their two-point advantage over Namibia, who host Equatorial Guinea.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 68.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 10.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.45%) and 3-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Tunisia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Tunisia.
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