MX23RW : Monday, March 24 07:33:09| >> :120:26225:26225:
Lithuania national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2025 at 5pm UK
S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas
Finland national football team

Lithuania
vs.
Finland

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Lithuania and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Poland 1-0 Lithuania
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Malta 0-1 Finland
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

We say: Lithuania 1-2 Finland

The onus will be on Finland to attack, as they must keep compiling points against Group G's minnows if they are to make it through to the World Cup playoffs. While Lithuania may be able to exploit any space, an overall deficit of quality in key areas should result in yet another defeat - their ninth in a row. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lithuania win with a probability of 36.41%. A win for Finland has a probability of 34.75% and a draw has a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Finland win is 0-1 (11.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.35%).

Result
LithuaniaDrawFinland
36.41% (-10.821 -10.82) 28.84% (2.109 2.11) 34.75% (8.709 8.71)
Both teams to score 45.31% (-2.365 -2.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.71% (-4.697 -4.7)61.29% (4.695 4.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.79% (-3.642 -3.64)81.21% (3.638 3.64)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (-8.17 -8.17)32.14% (8.167 8.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (-10.413 -10.41)68.62% (10.411 10.41)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.77% (4.065 4.07)33.23% (-4.066 -4.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.15% (4.236 4.24)69.84% (-4.24 -4.24)
Score Analysis
    Lithuania 36.41%
    Finland 34.74%
    Draw 28.83%
LithuaniaDrawFinland
1-0 @ 12.12% (-0.65 -0.65)
2-1 @ 7.58% (-1.414 -1.41)
2-0 @ 6.88% (-2.239 -2.24)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-1.414 -1.41)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-1.739 -1.74)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.532 -0.53)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 36.41%
1-1 @ 13.35% (0.76 0.76)
0-0 @ 10.68% (1.739 1.74)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.26 -0.26)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.83%
0-1 @ 11.76% (2.942 2.94)
1-2 @ 7.36% (1.146 1.15)
0-2 @ 6.48% (2.133 2.13)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.66 0.66)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.95 0.95)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.74%

Who will win Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Lithuania and Finland?

Lithuania
Draw
Finland
Lithuania
17.4%
Draw
23.9%
Finland
58.7%
46
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