World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
San Marino1 - 5Romania
Form, Standings, Stats
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Cyprus 2-0 San Marino
Friday, March 21 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Friday, March 21 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: San Marino 0-4 Romania
San Marino have certainly improved from the side that would rack up heavy defeats on a regular basis, but there is next-to-no chance of them being competitive in this one, and back-to-back defeats loom. Romania will want a routine victory by a healthy margin of goals to make up for Friday's defeat, and they have the talent to do so, in what should be an easy evening for the visitors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 79.13%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 5.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.39%) and 0-3 (12.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Marino | Draw | Romania |
5.88% ( 0.24) | 14.98% ( 0.34) | 79.13% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 33.56% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
