World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2025 at 4pm UK
Estadio Nacional 24 de Setembro
Guinea-Bissau1 - 2Burkina Faso
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Guinea-Bissau and Burkina Faso.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sierra Leone 3-1 Guinea-Bissau
Thursday, March 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Thursday, March 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Last Game: Burkina Faso 4-1 Djibouti
Friday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Friday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 43.03%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 27.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 1-2 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guinea-Bissau | Draw | Burkina Faso |
27.03% ( -0.23) | 29.94% ( 0.18) | 43.03% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 40.13% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
