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FA Cup
AFC Wimbledon
FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Cheltenham Town

AFC Wimbledon
4 - 3
Cheltenham

Assal (36', 55'), Palmer (41', 65')
McCormick (80'), Woodyard (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
May (2'), Williams (73'), Heneghan (81' og.)
Hussey (80'), Norton (89'), Horton (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between AFC Wimbledon and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Cheltenham Town

 Both sides will have dreams of a cup run this season, and with that in mind, we expect this to be a close-fought affair. Cheltenham have drawn three of their last four away games, and we think that Saturday's encounter will end all square with a replay required to separate the two teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawCheltenham Town
40.11%25.04%34.85%
Both teams to score 57.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.93%46.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.63%68.37%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16%22.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44%56.56%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33%25.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.43%60.57%
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 40.11%
    Cheltenham Town 34.85%
    Draw 25.04%
AFC WimbledonDrawCheltenham Town
2-1 @ 8.69%
1-0 @ 8.66%
2-0 @ 6.39%
3-1 @ 4.28%
3-0 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.16%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 40.11%
1-1 @ 11.77%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 5.86%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.04%
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-1 @ 7.97%
0-2 @ 5.42%
1-3 @ 3.63%
2-3 @ 2.68%
0-3 @ 2.46%
1-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 34.85%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Cheltenham

AFC Wimbledon
41.7%
Draw
41.7%
Cheltenham Town
16.7%
12
Head to Head
May 2, 2015 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Cheltenham
Smith (44')
Berry (25')
Berry (19'), Brown (51'), Braham-Barrett (93')
Oct 4, 2014 3pm
Cheltenham
1-1
AFC Wimbledon
Taylor (8')
Barrett (41')
Mar 22, 2014 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
4-3
Cheltenham
Hylton (69', 71'), Nicholson (70'), Midson (90')
Collins (28'), Jones (33'), Moore (50'), Hylton (72')
Brown (5'), McGlashan (49'), Taylor (74')
McGlashan (43'), Harrison (44'), Taylor (90')
Sep 28, 2013 3pm
Cheltenham
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
Cureton (90')
Noble (72')
Mar 2, 2013 3pm
Cheltenham
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Elliott (10'), Carter (56')
Carter (49'), Penn (83')
Dickenson (63')
Hussey (49'), Balkestein (84'), Dickenson (90')
rhs 2.0
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