Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uxbridge win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Ashford Town had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uxbridge win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.51%) and 1-3 (4.94%). The likeliest Ashford Town win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
