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FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Homelands

Ashford United
6 - 1
Three Bridges

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Ashford United and Three Bridges.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Ashford United 3-1 Harrow Borough
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Last Game: Three Bridges 3-1 Saltdean United
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Three Bridges win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Ashford United had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Three Bridges win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.4%) and 1-3 (5.08%). The likeliest Ashford United win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Ashford UnitedDrawThree Bridges
36.29% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03) 22.17% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 41.54% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Both teams to score 68.48% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.29% (0.034999999999997 0.03)31.71% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)53.23% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Ashford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.34% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.55% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)49.45% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Three Bridges Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.86% (0.028999999999996 0.03)16.13% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.43% (0.053000000000004 0.05)45.56% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ashford United 36.29%
    Three Bridges 41.54%
    Draw 22.17%
Ashford UnitedDrawThree Bridges
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.26% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.41% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-3 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 36.29%
1-1 @ 9.16% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 7.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 2.96% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.44% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 22.17%
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 5.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 5.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.92%
2-3 @ 4.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 2.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.96% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-4 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 41.54%

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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Bournemouth167452421325
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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