FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Technique Stadium
Chesterfield1 - 0Northampton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-1 Gateshead
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Northampton 1-1 Newport
Saturday, October 29 at 2pm in League Two
Saturday, October 29 at 2pm in League Two
We said: Chesterfield 1-3 Northampton Town
Saturday's game should certainly not be straightforward for the visitors, who come up against a side knocking on the door of League Two, but if Jon Brady deploys a full-strength Northampton side, they should have enough to come out of the contest with a victory and a place in the second round booked. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Northampton Town |
39.2% ( 0.17) | 24.36% ( -0.02) | 36.44% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 60.05% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
