Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Redhill win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for East Grinstead Town had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Redhill win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.43%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest East Grinstead Town win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Redhill would win this match.
