Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fairford Town FC win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Hartpury University had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fairford Town FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.17%) and 3-1 (6.14%). The likeliest Hartpury University win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
