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FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
 

Hanley Town
0 - 1
Stafford Rangers

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Hanley Town and Stafford Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Boldmere St Michaels 0-0 Hanley Town (0-0 pen.)
Tuesday, August 6 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Last Game: Stafford Rangers 1-4 Crewe
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stafford Rangers win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Hanley Town had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stafford Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Hanley Town win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stafford Rangers would win this match.

Result
Hanley TownDrawStafford Rangers
35.53% (0.891 0.89) 23.6% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 40.87% (-0.838 -0.84)
Both teams to score 62.76% (0.416 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.89% (0.455 0.45)39.1% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.57% (0.476 0.48)61.43% (-0.474 -0.47)
Hanley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.94% (0.68599999999999 0.69)22.06% (-0.684 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.6% (1.026 1.03)55.4% (-1.025 -1.03)
Stafford Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.52% (-0.179 -0.18)19.48% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.65% (-0.29199999999999 -0.29)51.35% (0.29499999999999 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Hanley Town 35.53%
    Stafford Rangers 40.87%
    Draw 23.6%
Hanley TownDrawStafford Rangers
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.111 0.11)
1-0 @ 6.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.91% (0.095 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.136 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.094 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.47% (0.097 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.082 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.06 0.06)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 35.53%
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.57% (0.054 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-2 @ 5.75% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.74% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.58% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.13% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 40.87%

rhs 2.0
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2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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