MX23RW : Monday, November 4 13:25:31| >> :120:58569:58569:
FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bowden Park
Bury

Harborough Town
1 - 0
Bury

Stephens (77' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Harborough Town and Bury.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Harborough Town 1-0 Leamington
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Radcliffe 2-3 Bury
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harborough Town win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Bury had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harborough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Bury win it was 1-2 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harborough Town would win this match.

Result
Harborough TownDrawBury
57.88% (-0.442 -0.44) 21.21% (-0.253 -0.25) 20.91% (0.693 0.69)
Both teams to score 59.22% (2.027 2.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.51% (2.152 2.15)38.49% (-2.153 -2.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.22% (2.241 2.24)60.78% (-2.243 -2.24)
Harborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.89% (0.56699999999999 0.57)13.1% (-0.569 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.26% (1.139 1.14)39.74% (-1.142 -1.14)
Bury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.15% (1.9 1.9)31.85% (-1.901 -1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.71% (2.118 2.12)68.29% (-2.121 -2.12)
Score Analysis
    Harborough Town 57.88%
    Bury 20.91%
    Draw 21.21%
Harborough TownDrawBury
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.517 -0.52)
1-0 @ 8.48% (-0.7 -0.7)
3-1 @ 6.68% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.84% (-0.221 -0.22)
3-2 @ 3.82% (0.247 0.25)
4-1 @ 3.39% (0.12 0.12)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.94% (0.164 0.16)
5-1 @ 1.38% (0.076 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.21% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 57.88%
1-1 @ 9.7% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.252 0.25)
0-0 @ 4.17% (-0.441 -0.44)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.163 0.16)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.21%
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.136 0.14)
0-1 @ 4.78% (-0.237 -0.24)
0-2 @ 2.73% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.201 0.2)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.156 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 20.91%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!