Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haywards Heath Town win with a probability of 52.29%. A win for Deal Town had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haywards Heath Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Deal Town win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haywards Heath Town would win this match.
