FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Penydarren Park
Merthyr Town3 - 2Cribbs
Twamley (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Croome (44')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Merthyr Town and Cribbs.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 66.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Cribbs had a probability of 15.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 3-1 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Cribbs win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Merthyr Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Merthyr Town | Draw | Cribbs |
| 66.49% | 17.91% ( 0) | 15.6% |
| Both teams to score 60.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
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