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FA Cup
FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Pavilion

Newport Pagnell
3 - 3
Ilford

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Newport Pagnell Town and Ilford.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport Pagnell Town

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Last Game: Newport Pagnell 0-6 MK Dons
Saturday, July 18 at 1pm in Pre-Season Friendlies
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Ilford

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport Pagnell Town win with a probability of 61.78%. A win for Ilford had a probability of 19.97% and a draw had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport Pagnell Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Ilford win was 1-2 (4.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Newport Pagnell TownDrawIlford
61.78% (-0.114 -0.11) 18.25% (0.012 0.01) 19.97% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 69.08% (0.15199999999999 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.74% (0.11 0.11)25.25% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.75% (0.147 0.15)45.24% (-0.147 -0.15)
Newport Pagnell Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.87% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)8.13% (-0.0091000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.47% (0.021000000000001 0.02)28.53% (-0.023 -0.02)
Ilford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19% (0.158 0.16)24.81% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.61% (0.217 0.22)59.39% (-0.217 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Newport Pagnell Town 61.78%
    Ilford 19.97%
    Draw 18.25%
Newport Pagnell TownDrawIlford
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.35% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.31% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 5.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.06% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.65% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 3.24% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 1.67% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.63% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.51% (0.011 0.01)
6-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 61.78%
1-1 @ 7.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.4% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.02% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 18.25%
1-2 @ 4.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 2.81% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.015 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 19.97%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Newport Pagnell Town
rhs 2.0
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