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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Peterborough United |
29.87% ( 1.52) | 24.05% ( 0.09) | 46.08% ( -1.61) |
Both teams to score 58.83% ( 0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.71% ( 0.5) | 43.28% ( -0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.32% ( 0.49) | 65.68% ( -0.49) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.59% ( 1.3) | 27.4% ( -1.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.12% ( 1.65) | 62.88% ( -1.65) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.04% ( -0.45) | 18.96% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.51% ( -0.76) | 50.49% ( 0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Peterborough United |
2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.87% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 46.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 60 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 58 |
3 | Wrexham | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 52 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 48 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 28 | 15 | 47 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 44 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 44 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 43 |
9 | Barnsley | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Reading | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 41 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 37 |
13 | Blackpool | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Stevenage | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 33 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 27 |
21 | Burton Albion | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 24 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 24 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 21 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 20 |
> League One Full Table |