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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Peterborough United |
29.87% ( 1.52) | 24.05% ( 0.09) | 46.08% ( -1.61) |
Both teams to score 58.83% ( 0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.71% ( 0.5) | 43.28% ( -0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.32% ( 0.49) | 65.68% ( -0.49) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.59% ( 1.3) | 27.4% ( -1.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.12% ( 1.65) | 62.88% ( -1.65) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.04% ( -0.45) | 18.96% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.51% ( -0.76) | 50.49% ( 0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Peterborough United |
2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.87% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 46.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |