Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascot United win with a probability of 57.92%. A win for Virginia Water had a probability of 22.65% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascot United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.05%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Virginia Water win was 2-1 (5.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
