MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 21:23:24| >> :60:31:31:
North Macedonia national football team
Friendlies 2
Mar 22, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stade Pierre Sauvaigo
Moldova national football team

N. Macedonia
1 - 1
Moldova

Miovski (45+1')
Serafimov (51'), Dimoski (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Damascan (82')
Platica (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between North Macedonia and Moldova, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

North Macedonia

All competitions
Last Game: N. Macedonia 1-1 England
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1England81820
2Italy8714
3Ukraine8314
4North Macedonia8-108
5Malta8-180

Moldova

All competitions
Last Game: Czech Republic 3-0 Moldova
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: North Macedonia 2-0 Moldova

 Moldova will do well to replicate the heroics of their squad across Euro 2024 qualifying, despite falling short, and the hosts will come into this one as comfortable favourites. Home draws with Italy and England in the past 12 months, as well as scoring twice away to the Azzurri, suggests North Macedonia are still a threat like they were heading into Euro 2020, and they will expect to win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 22.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
North MacedoniaDrawMoldova
52.05% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 25.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 22.06% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 46.11% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.38% (0.049999999999997 0.05)56.62% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.4% (0.039000000000001 0.04)77.59% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.17% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)21.83% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.95% (0.011000000000003 0.01)55.05% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.99% (0.067999999999998 0.07)41.01% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.43% (0.061 0.06)77.56% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    North Macedonia 52.04%
    Moldova 22.06%
    Draw 25.89%
North MacedoniaDrawMoldova
1-0 @ 13.62% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 52.04%
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 8.95% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 7.98%
1-2 @ 5.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 22.06%

How you voted: N. Macedonia vs Moldova

North Macedonia
80.6%
Draw
13.9%
Moldova
5.6%
36
rhs 2.0
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