Friendlies 1

Jun 11, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadionul CPTF

Moldova
0 - 4
Ukraine

FT(HT: 0-2)

Yaremchuk (2'), Tsygankov (43'), Dovbyk (49'), Sudakov (55')
Yarmolenko (73'), Konoplya (84')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Moldova and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Moldova 3-2 Cyprus
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Albania	8	8	15
2	Czech Republic	8	6	15
3	Poland	8	0	11
4	Moldova	8	-3	10
5	Faroe Islands	8	-11	2

Ukraine

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Poland 3-1 Ukraine
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ukraine	0	0	0
2	Belgium	0	0	0
3	Romania	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Moldova have put together a positive run of results, but we think that their three-game unbeaten run will come to an end when they face a Ukraine side who will be determined to clinch a confidence-boosting victory ahead of Euro 2024. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.

Result
Moldova	Draw	Ukraine
38.06% ( 1.23)	26.24% ( 0.31)	35.7% ( -1.53)

Both teams to score 53.4% (

-1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.78% (

-1.36)

51.22% (

1.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.95% (

-1.2)

73.06% (

1.21)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.76% (

0.06)

26.24% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.65% (

0.08)

61.35% (

-0.07)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.4% (

-1.53)

27.61% (

1.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.87% (

-2.01)

63.14% (

2.02)

Score Analysis

Moldova 38.06%

Ukraine 35.7%

Draw 26.23%

Moldova	Draw	Ukraine
1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.53) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.06%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23%	0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 6% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.7%