MX23RW : Monday, December 23 03:02:41| >> :600:6075835:6075835:
Wales national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Croatia national football team

Wales
2 - 1
Croatia

Wilson (47', 60')
James (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pasalic (75')
Vida (21'), Brozovic (89')

The Match

Match Report

Harry Wilson scores twice as an impressive Wales record a 2-1 victory over Croatia in Sunday evening's Euro 2024 qualification fixture.

Team News

Robert Page makes six changes for Wales' crucial Euro 2024 qualifier against Croatia in Cardiff.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Wales and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Wales 4-0 Gibraltar
Wednesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey6313
2Croatia5710
3Armenia6-17
4Wales5-17
5Latvia6-83
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Croatia 0-1 Turkey
Thursday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey6313
2Croatia5710
3Armenia6-17
4Wales5-17
5Latvia6-83

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Wales had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Wales win was 1-0 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
WalesDrawCroatia
33.38% (0.135 0.13) 27.56% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03) 39.07% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 48.87% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.21% (0.126 0.13)56.79% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.27% (0.102 0.1)77.73% (-0.10199999999999 -0.1)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17% (0.15400000000001 0.15)31.83% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73% (0.177 0.18)68.27% (-0.176 -0.18)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.31% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.97% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)64.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Wales 33.38%
    Croatia 39.06%
    Draw 27.55%
WalesDrawCroatia
1-0 @ 10.31%
2-1 @ 7.45% (0.027 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.9% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.84% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.25% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 33.38%
1-1 @ 13.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.01% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.55%
0-1 @ 11.37% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.18% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.02% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 39.06%

How you voted: Wales vs Croatia

Wales
14.3%
Draw
18.3%
Croatia
67.5%
126
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Croatia
1-1
Wales
Kramaric (28')
Broadhead (90+3')
Oct 13, 2019 7.45pm
Jun 8, 2019 2pm
Group Stage
Croatia
2-1
Wales
Lawrence (17' og.), Perisic (48')
Brekalo (28'), Jedvaj (50'), Lovren (54'), Vida (69'), Brozovic (92')
Brooks (77')
Bale (49')
Mar 26, 2013 7.45pm
Oct 16, 2012 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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