Friendlies 1

Mar 23, 2024 at 8pm UK

Cairo International Stadium

Tunisia
0 - 0
Croatia

Kechrida (18')

Majer (90')

Croatia win 5-4 on penalties

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Tunisia and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tunisia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Tunisia
Wednesday, January 24 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Croatia

All competitions

Last Game: Croatia 1-0 Armenia
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	8	7	17
2	Croatia	8	9	16
3	Wales	8	0	12
4	Armenia	8	-2	8
5	Latvia	8	-14	3

Dalic must utilise the four games ahead of Euro 2024 wisely, with a changing of the guard taking place within the Croatia squad and a devilishly difficult group to navigate in Germany. Tunisia are looking to recover from a hopeless showing at AFCON and may be revitalised with a new-look squad, but this is a very difficult test for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Croatia win was 0-1 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Tunisia	Draw	Croatia
37.02% ( -0.02)	28.75% ( -0)	34.22% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 45.5% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.97% (

0.01)

61.03% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.98% (

81.01% (

-0.01)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.37% (

-0.02)

31.62% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.96% (

-0.02)

68.03% (

0.01)

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.55% (

0.02)

33.45% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.92% (

0.02)

70.08% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Tunisia 37.01%

Croatia 34.22%

Draw 28.74%

Tunisia	Draw	Croatia
1-0 @ 12.17% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.91% Total : 37.01%	1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.74%	0-1 @ 11.58% 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 34.22%