Gamba Osaka

2 - 1

Oita Trinita

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 48%. A win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Oita Trinita win was 0-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.