MX23RW : Thursday, January 23 18:52:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alaves logo
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
La Liga header desktop

La Liga
Celta Vigo logo
La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 19, 2025 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Athletic Bilbao logo

Celta Vigo
1 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Alvarez (74')
Moriba (60')
Mingueza (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Berenguer (62'), Vivian (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 5-2 Celta Vigo
Thursday, January 16 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-3 Osasuna
Thursday, January 16 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

 Athletic will enter this match off the back of two disappointing results in the cup, but their league form is excellent, and we are struggling to back them to lose here; Celta, though, have been strong at home this term, and we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw here despite being close to backing an away success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAthletic Bilbao
28.3% (0.123 0.12) 28.82% (0.053999999999998 0.05) 42.88% (-0.183 -0.18)
Both teams to score 43.54% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.42% (-0.131 -0.13)62.58% (0.123 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.84% (-0.096 -0.1)82.16% (0.088000000000008 0.09)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.29% (0.027999999999999 0.03)38.71% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.55% (0.027999999999999 0.03)75.44% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (-0.164 -0.16)28.95% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (-0.202 -0.2)64.84% (0.196 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 28.29%
    Athletic Bilbao 42.88%
    Draw 28.8%
Celta VigoDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.26% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.05% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.98% (0.006 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.6% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 28.29%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.2% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.8%
0-1 @ 13.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.61% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.56% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 42.88%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao

Celta Vigo
22.6%
Draw
17.9%
Athletic Bilbao
59.5%
84
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 6
Athletic Bilbao
3-1
Celta Vigo
Guruzeta (4', 39'), Djalo (80')
Berenguer (20'), Paredes (30'), Prados (52')
Aspas (25' pen.)
Sotelo (50'), Moriba (86')
> Preview
May 15, 2024 9pm
Gameweek 36
Celta Vigo
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Swedberg (68'), Alvarez (71')
Starfelt (80'), Cervi (90+5')
Berenguer (23')
> Preview
Nov 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Athletic Bilbao
4-3
Celta Vigo
Sancet (37'), Guruzeta (45+5', 52'), Berenguer (90+8' pen.)
Simon (56'), Garcia (90+2')
Aspas (25'), Bamba (41'), Strand Larsen (66')
Aspas (39'), Guaita (90+5')
> Preview
May 20, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 35
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Celta Vigo
Williams (5'), Berenguer (54')
Paredes (34'), Williams (39'), Garcia (82'), Garcia (90')
Strand Larsen (50')
de la Torre (65')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
Celta Vigo
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Aspas (71')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515
> La Liga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!