La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 19, 2025 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Celta Vigo1 - 2Athletic Bilbao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Real Madrid 5-2 Celta Vigo
Thursday, January 16 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Thursday, January 16 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Athletic will enter this match off the back of two disappointing results in the cup, but their league form is excellent, and we are struggling to back them to lose here; Celta, though, have been strong at home this term, and we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw here despite being close to backing an away success. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
28.3% ( 0.12) | 28.82% ( 0.05) | 42.88% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 43.54% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
