La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alaves1 - 0Rayo Vallecano
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Alaves
Monday, March 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Monday, March 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Cadiz
Saturday, March 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, March 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga
We said: Alaves 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
It is difficult to back either side with any real confidence at the moment, and we are expecting the points to be shared on Sunday. Alaves have drawn eight times in the league this season, while Rayo have shared the points on 11 occasions, and we are predicting 1-1 this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 45.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 25.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
45.67% ( -0.03) | 28.58% ( 0.09) | 25.74% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 42.58% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
