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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Cadiz logo

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
Cadiz

Lejeune (78')
Crespo (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hernandez (90+1')
Alejo (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 3-0 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, February 26 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 2-2 Celta Vigo
Sunday, February 25 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Cadiz

Rayo's home form has been poor this season, picking up just nine points from 12 matches, but Cadiz boast the third-worst away record and are yet to win on their travels this term. Both teams need a win at a crucial stage of the campaign, but we have had to back an uneventful goalless draw between the two strugglers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 46.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 26.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawCadiz
46.21% (-0.569 -0.57) 27.51% (-0.126 -0.13) 26.27% (0.691 0.69)
Both teams to score 45.71% (0.857 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.79% (0.827 0.83)59.2% (-0.831 -0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.37% (0.632 0.63)79.63% (-0.63800000000001 -0.64)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (0.093999999999994 0.09)25.63% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.48% (0.13 0.13)60.52% (-0.135 -0.13)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.46% (1.07 1.07)38.53% (-1.076 -1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.71% (1.007 1.01)75.28% (-1.012 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 46.21%
    Cadiz 26.27%
    Draw 27.51%
Rayo VallecanoDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 13.44% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-0 @ 9.15% (-0.239 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.066 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 46.21%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.88% (-0.305 -0.31)
2-2 @ 4.16% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 9.42% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.181 0.18)
0-2 @ 4.49% (0.12 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.112 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 26.27%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Cadiz

Rayo Vallecano
56.5%
Draw
34.8%
Cadiz
8.7%
23
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 7
Cadiz
0-0
Rayo Vallecano
Gomez (5'), Hernandez (45+4'), Alejo (51'), Hernandez (59'), Alcaraz (73')
Francisco (0'), Espino (43'), Chavarria (43'), Trejo (43'), Ciss (68'), Lejeune (82'), Mumin (88')
Mumin (88')
Feb 25, 2023 3.15pm
Oct 22, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 11
Rayo Vallecano
5-1
Cadiz
Isi (44' pen.), Garcia (45+1'), Lejeune (63', 89'), Camello (79')
Balliu (82' og.)
Mar 6, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 27
Cadiz
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Alcaraz (55'), Idrissi (63')
Akapo (10'), Alcaraz (37'), Idrissi (45+1'), Alejo (65'), Sobrino (82')

Isi (12'), Garcia (45+2'), Maras (62')
Sep 26, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Rayo Vallecano
3-1
Cadiz
Garcia (9'), Falcao (44'), Isi (87')
Isi (50'), Balliu (59')
Haroyan (23')
Bastida (45+1'), Haroyan (48'), Cala (56'), Perea (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid22154350212949
2Atletico MadridAtletico22146237142348
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal22107544331137
6Rayo Vallecano228862624232
7Mallorca2293101928-930
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Sevilla227782430-628
12Osasuna216962530-527
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe225981717024
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes225891930-1123
17Espanyol2265112133-1223
18AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2243151547-3215


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