Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
33.69% ( 2.06) | 26.35% ( 0.78) | 39.95% ( -2.84) |
Both teams to score 52.7% ( -1.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.03% ( -2.72) | 51.97% ( 2.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.29% ( -2.4) | 73.71% ( 2.4) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.79% ( -0) | 29.21% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.84% ( -0.01) | 65.15% ( 0) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.44% ( -2.65) | 25.56% ( 2.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.58% ( -3.76) | 60.42% ( 3.76) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.95) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.59) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.69% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.78) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.39) 0-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.51) 0-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.41) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.31) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.29) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.24) Other @ 2.43% Total : 39.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
13 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |