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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 3, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Las Palmas

Atletico
2 - 0
Las Palmas

Simeone (37'), Sorloth (84')
Lenglet (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rozada (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Vic 0-2 Atletico
Thursday, October 31 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Las Palmas

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Ontinena 0-7 Las Palmas
Thursday, October 31 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Las Palmas

 Las Palmas will enter this match full of confidence, and Atletico are yet to find their best form this season; we are expecting a close match on Sunday, with Las Palmas having a goal in them against a strong Atletico defence, but the home side should have enough quality to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 19.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawLas Palmas
59.4% (-0.379 -0.38) 21.24% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 19.36% (0.335 0.34)
Both teams to score 56.46% (0.454 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.09% (0.313 0.31)40.9% (-0.311 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.7% (0.318 0.32)63.29% (-0.318 -0.32)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.57% (-0.012 -0.01)13.43% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.6% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)40.39% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (0.53399999999999 0.53)34.78% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (0.559 0.56)71.51% (-0.55799999999999 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 59.4%
    Las Palmas 19.36%
    Draw 21.24%
Atletico MadridDrawLas Palmas
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.41% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-1 @ 6.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.3% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.16% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 59.4%
1-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.072 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.67% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.24%
1-2 @ 5.23% (0.075 0.08)
0-1 @ 4.93% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.61% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.84% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 19.36%

How you voted: Atletico vs Las Palmas

Atletico Madrid
86.7%
Draw
9.7%
Las Palmas
3.5%
113
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 25
Atletico
5-0
Las Palmas
Llorente (15', 20'), Correa (47', 62' pen.), Depay (87')
Molina (28'), Niguez (33')

Perrone (4'), El Haddadi (61')
> Preview
Nov 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 12
Las Palmas
2-1
Atletico
Rodriguez (51'), Benito (75')
Morata (83')
De Paul (62'), Gimenez (90+3'), Savic (90+9')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2018 3.15pm
Atletico
3-0
Las Palmas
Griezmann (61'), Torres (73'), Partey (88')
Niguez (82')

Navarro (67'), Galvez (85')
> Match Report
Aug 26, 2017 9.15pm
Las Palmas
1-5
Atletico
Calleri (58')
Hernan (14'), Bigas (24'), Gonzalez (39'), Viera (62')
Correa (3'), Carrasco (5'), Koke (62', 75'), Partey (88')
Vietto (39')
> Match Report
Apr 29, 2017 5.30pm
Las Palmas
0-5
Atletico

Boateng (6'), Jese (32'), Halilovic (56')
Boateng (65')
Gameiro (2', 18'), Niguez (17'), Partey (72'), Torres (91')
Niguez (14'), Savic (31'), Gaitan (61'), Partey (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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