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La Liga | Gameweek 37
May 28, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Celta Vigo logo

Cadiz
1 - 0
Celta Vigo

Sobrino (53')
Lozano (10'), Sobrino (27'), Bongonda (39'), Hernandez (59'), Guardiola (60'), Alcaraz (62'), Alejo (76'), Escalante (90'), Fede (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Galan (16'), Nunez (45'), de la Torre (48'), Oscar (60'), Solari (63'), Aspas (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 2-0 Cadiz
Wednesday, May 24 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Girona
Tuesday, May 23 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 1-1 Celta Vigo

Celta do not win often on the road, especially at this venue, and Cadiz are tricky to beat on home soil, losing just three times here in 2023. With a close encounter expected, both sides are set for a final day scrap to survive next weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cadiz in this match.

Result
CadizDrawCelta Vigo
38.71% (-0.518 -0.52) 27.24% (0.105 0.11) 34.06% (0.415 0.41)
Both teams to score 49.97% (-0.246 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.53% (-0.344 -0.34)55.47% (0.347 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.34% (-0.281 -0.28)76.66% (0.285 0.28)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.12% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)27.88% (0.459 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.51% (-0.586 -0.59)63.49% (0.59 0.59)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.28% (0.097999999999999 0.1)30.72% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.03% (0.117 0.12)66.97% (-0.114 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 38.7%
    Celta Vigo 34.05%
    Draw 27.24%
CadizDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 10.93%
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.99% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 38.7%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.56% (0.115 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.24%
0-1 @ 10.1% (0.153 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.97% (0.111 0.11)
1-3 @ 3% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 34.05%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Celta Vigo

Cadiz
60.9%
Draw
30.4%
Celta Vigo
8.7%
46
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2022 8pm
gameweek 4
Celta Vigo
3-0
Cadiz
Aspas (56', 75'), Oscar (62')
Strand Larsen (78')

Lozano (27'), Zaldua (90+1')
Feb 12, 2022 1pm
gameweek 24
Cadiz
0-0
Celta Vigo

Ledesma (82'), Jonsson (88'), Hernandez (90+4')

Cervi (25'), Galan (52')
Sep 17, 2021 8pm
gameweek 5
Celta Vigo
1-2
Cadiz
Mina (64')
Galhardo (48'), Tapia (74'), Mendez (89')
Lozano (38'), Espino (43')
Sobrino (46'), Haroyan (52'), Alarcon (61')
Apr 18, 2021 5.30pm
Dec 14, 2020 8pm
gameweek 13
Celta Vigo
4-0
Cadiz
Nolito (6'), Aspas (31' pen.), Beltran (43'), Mendez (45+1')
Suarez (54'), Araujo (57')

Mauro (59')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona14111242142834
2Atletico MadridAtletico148512181329
3Real Madrid1283125111427
4Villarreal137422521425
5Osasuna146441922-322
6GironaGirona146352018221
7Mallorca146351312121
8Athletic Bilbao135531913620
9Real BetisBetis145541616020
10Real Sociedad135351110118
11Celta Vigo145362224-218
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves144191524-913
17Las PalmasLas Palmas143381825-712
18Valencia122461219-710
19Espanyol133191226-1410
20Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179


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