Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Cadiz |
50.13% ( 0.34) | 27.5% ( -0.15) | 22.37% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 42.31% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.24% ( 0.31) | 61.76% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.44% ( 0.23) | 81.56% ( -0.23) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.1% ( 0.3) | 24.9% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.48% ( 0.42) | 59.52% ( -0.42) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.34% ( -0.02) | 43.66% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.16% ( -0.01) | 79.84% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 15.11% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.13% Total : 50.12% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.5% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |