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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Coliseum Alfonso Perez
Almeria

Getafe
2 - 1
Almeria

Greenwood (33'), Mayoral (45')
Rico (24'), Alderete (28'), Bordalas (30')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ramazani (7')
Gonzalez (52'), Baptistao (60'), Ramazani (63'), Baba (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Getafe and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Granada 1-1 Getafe
Saturday, November 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 1-3 Real Sociedad
Saturday, November 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Getafe 1-0 Almeria

Getafe are not losing at the moment, but they are finding it difficult to win, and Almeria certainly have the quality to avoid defeat this weekend. We are expecting a very tight game in terms of the scoreline but believe that Getafe will be able to pick up all three points courtesy of a narrow success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.

Result
GetafeDrawAlmeria
46.5% (-0.102 -0.1) 26.53% (0.07 0.07) 26.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.96% (-0.182 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.72% (-0.247 -0.25)55.28% (0.247 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.5% (-0.203 -0.2)76.5% (0.202 0.2)
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)23.75% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.11% (-0.225 -0.23)57.89% (0.224 0.22)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.21% (-0.107 -0.11)35.79% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.44% (-0.11 -0.11)72.56% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Getafe 46.49%
    Almeria 26.98%
    Draw 26.52%
GetafeDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 12.21% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.78% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.49%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.5% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 8.73% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.45% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.49% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 26.98%

How you voted: Getafe vs Almeria

Getafe
96.2%
Draw
3.8%
Almeria
0.0%
26
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Getafe
1-2
Almeria
Mayoral (71')
Suarez Charris (7', 58')
Nov 9, 2022 6pm
Feb 1, 2015 4pm
Almeria
1-0
Getafe
Mendez (44')
Verza (40'), Hemed (56'), Soriano (77'), Espinosa (93')
Hemed (82')

Hinestroza (26'), Castro (34'), Escudero (55'), Lago (90')
Escudero (63')
Jan 14, 2015 7pm
Round Five
Getafe
1-0
Almeria
Vasquez (74')
Escudero (55')

Azeez (24'), Thomas (77'), Michel (85')
Jan 7, 2015 9pm
Round Five
Almeria
1-1
Getafe
Verza (59' pen.)
Marín (54'), Wellington (74')
Verza (21' og.)
Hinestroza (31'), Lago (35'), Castro (45'), Naldo (86'), Rodríguez (90')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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