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Girona logo
Las Palmas
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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Real Sociedad logo

Almeria
1 - 3
Real Sociedad

Arribas (76')
Robertone (27'), Embarba (50'), Lopy (90+2'), Lopy (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oyarzabal (62'), Fernandez (90+1' pen.), Zubimendi (90+5')
Sadiq (32'), Munoz (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Almeria
Sunday, November 5 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 3-1 Benfica
Wednesday, November 8 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Almeria 0-2 Real Sociedad

Almeria are a very, very difficult team to back, and we are finding it tough to predict anything other than an away win here. Almeria will be the fresher of the two teams, but Real Sociedad should have enough quality to secure all three points this weekend against statistically the worst side in the division. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 48.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 25.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.3%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawReal Sociedad
25.18% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 26.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 48.62% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.47% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.81% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)55.19% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)76.43% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.73% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)37.27% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.95% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)74.05% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)22.73% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.59% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)56.4% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 25.18%
    Real Sociedad 48.62%
    Draw 26.19%
AlmeriaDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 8.36% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.11%
2-0 @ 4.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 25.18%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 8.47% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 12.55% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.3% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.7% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.68% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 48.62%

How you voted: Almeria vs Real Sociedad

Almeria
5.8%
Draw
5.8%
Real Sociedad
88.5%
52
Head to Head
May 23, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 36
Real Sociedad
1-0
Almeria
Kubo (45+4')

Eguaras (89')
Suarez Charris (36')
Jan 8, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 16
Almeria
0-2
Real Sociedad
Silva (47'), Sorloth (53')
Feb 13, 2015 7.45pm
Almeria
2-2
Real Sociedad
Verza (5' pen.), Hemed (40')
Corona (30'), Velez (46'), Bifouma (69'), Dos Santos (73'), Zongo (85')
Agirretxe (27'), Canales (48')
Rulli (3'), Granero (18'), Berchiche (82'), Ansotegi (84')
Sep 21, 2014 11am
Real Sociedad
1-2
Almeria
Castro (85')
Bergara (56')
De la Bella (30' og.), Dos Santos (51')
Zongo (23'), Dubarbier (54'), Soriana (58'), Trujillo (58'), Verza (65'), Teye (73'), Navarro (88')
Dubarbier (79')
Mar 24, 2014 9pm
Almeria
4-3
Real Sociedad
Diaz (29'), Verza (66' pen., 71' pen.), Hicham (90')
Trujillo (21'), Diaz (63'), Soriano (72'), Verza (73')
Vela (21' pen.), Agirretxe (58'), Bergara (85')
Martinez (65'), Gonzalez (70'), de La Bella (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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