La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 29, 2022 at 4pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Girona2 - 2Rayo Vallecano
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cacereno 2-1 Girona
Thursday, December 22 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Thursday, December 22 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Saguntino 0-0 Rayo Vallecano (1-3 pen.)
Wednesday, December 21 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Wednesday, December 21 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
We said: Girona 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Both of these sides have enjoyed solid starts to the campaign, and we are expecting a close match on Thursday afternoon. Rayo will be eyeing their seventh league victory of the season, but Girona are unbeaten in their last four league matches, and we are predicting a low-scoring draw here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
44.07% ( -2.25) | 27.43% ( 0.75) | 28.5% ( 1.49) |
| Both teams to score 47.37% ( -1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
