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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarin
Rayo Vallecano logo

Betis
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Jose (53')
Miranda (15'), Rodriguez (43'), Roca (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia (45'), Espino (55'), Isi (58'), de Tomas (58'), Perez (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Betis and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Real Betis 2-1 Rayo Vallecano

Rayo will be desperate to bounce back from their seven-goal defeat last time out, but this is a very tricky match against a talented Real Betis outfit. Pellegrini's side will also be aiming to recover from a loss, and we are backing the home side to secure all three points on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-0 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.

Result
Real BetisDrawRayo Vallecano
33.84% (-0.272 -0.27) 28.56% (0.103 0.1) 37.6% (0.172 0.17)
Both teams to score 46.01% (-0.331 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.62% (-0.389 -0.39)60.38% (0.391 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.47% (-0.296 -0.3)80.53% (0.3 0.3)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (-0.387 -0.39)33.37% (0.392 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.01% (-0.428 -0.43)69.99% (0.431 0.43)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.06% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)30.94% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.76% (-0.106 -0.11)67.24% (0.108 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Real Betis 33.84%
    Rayo Vallecano 37.6%
    Draw 28.55%
Real BetisDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 11.33% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.67% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 33.84%
1-1 @ 13.29% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.32% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.55%
0-1 @ 12.11% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.11% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.78% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 37.6%

How you voted: Betis vs Rayo Vallecano

Real Betis
81.6%
Draw
7.9%
Rayo Vallecano
10.5%
38
Head to Head
May 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 34
Betis
3-1
Rayo Vallecano
Sabaly (5'), Perez (44'), Iglesias (90+6')
Comesana (52')
Jan 8, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 16
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Betis
Camello (20')
Balliu (7' og.), Henrique (40')
Mar 3, 2022 8pm
Feb 9, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Betis
Garcia (5')
Valentin (65')
Iglesias (26'), Carvalho (68')
Silva (78')
Jan 9, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 20
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Betis
Balliu (70')
Garcia (55')
Canales (45+2')
Canales (34'), Guardado (45+6'), Pellegrini (45+8'), Silva (87')
Moreno (33')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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