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Atletico Madrid logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Inter logo

Atletico
2 - 1
Inter Milan

Griezmann (35'), Depay (87')
Hermoso (41'), Koke (90')
FT
(aet)
Dimarco (33')
Calhanoglu (104'), Acerbi (105+2'), Aurel Bisseck (118')
Atletico win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Atletico Madrid beat last season's finalists Inter Milan 3-2 on penalties to progress to the Champions League quarter-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%).

Result
Atletico MadridDrawInter Milan
40.06% (2.074 2.07) 26.15% (0.642 0.64) 33.78% (-2.717 -2.72)
Both teams to score 53.35% (-2.576 -2.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.85% (-3.134 -3.13)51.14% (3.132 3.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.01% (-2.811 -2.81)72.99% (2.811 2.81)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.87% (-0.32000000000001 -0.32)25.12% (0.318 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.17% (-0.442 -0.44)59.83% (0.441 0.44)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (-3.122 -3.12)28.75% (3.121 3.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.41% (-4.067 -4.07)64.59% (4.065 4.07)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 40.06%
    Inter Milan 33.78%
    Draw 26.15%
Atletico MadridDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 9.98% (1.114 1.11)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.89% (0.714 0.71)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.17% (0.302 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.195 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 40.06%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.37 0.37)
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.865 0.87)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.372 -0.37)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 9% (0.348 0.35)
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.462 -0.46)
0-2 @ 5.61% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.507 -0.51)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.342 -0.34)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.373 -0.37)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.265 -0.27)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.78%

How you voted: Atletico vs Inter Milan

Atletico Madrid
24.4%
Draw
13.1%
Inter Milan
62.4%
426
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2024 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Inter Milan
1-0
Atletico
Arnautovic (79')
Frattesi (86'), Augusto (90+4')

Hermoso (53'), Savic (82'), Morata (84'), Koke (90+2')
Aug 11, 2018 8.05pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Atletico
0-1
Inter Milan

Costa (24')
Martinez (31')
Martinez (64')
rhs 2.0
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