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La Liga | Gameweek 25
Feb 17, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Las Palmas

Atletico
5 - 0
Las Palmas

Llorente (15', 20'), Correa (47', 62' pen.), Depay (87')
Molina (28'), Niguez (33')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Perrone (4'), El Haddadi (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Las Palmas

This has all of the makings of a very difficult game for Atletico, with Las Palmas so impressive this season. Simeone's side have been excellent at home in 2023-24, though, and we are backing the Red and Whites to navigate their way to a huge three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.93%. A draw has a probability of 23% and a win for Las Palmas has a probability of 20.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Las Palmas win it is 0-1 (6.07%).

Result
Atletico MadridDrawLas Palmas
56.93% (1.255 1.26) 23% (-0.272 -0.27) 20.07% (-0.983 -0.98)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.634 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35% (-0.104 -0.1)47.65% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)69.85% (0.095999999999989 0.1)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (0.405 0.41)16.51% (-0.404 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.75% (0.722 0.72)46.25% (-0.722 -0.72)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.06% (-1.065 -1.07)37.94% (1.066 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.29% (-1.047 -1.05)74.71% (1.047 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 56.93%
    Las Palmas 20.07%
    Draw 23%
Atletico MadridDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 11.28% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 10.16% (0.313 0.31)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.1% (0.268 0.27)
3-1 @ 5.91% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.75% (0.155 0.16)
4-1 @ 2.66% (0.077 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.29%
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.069 0.07)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 56.93%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23%
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-2 @ 5.3% (-0.217 -0.22)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 20.07%

How you voted: Atletico vs Las Palmas

Atletico Madrid
85.2%
Draw
8.3%
Las Palmas
6.5%
108
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 12
Las Palmas
2-1
Atletico
Rodriguez (51'), Benito (75')
Morata (83')
De Paul (62'), Gimenez (90+3'), Savic (90+9')
Jan 28, 2018 3.15pm
Atletico
3-0
Las Palmas
Griezmann (61'), Torres (73'), Partey (88')
Niguez (82')

Navarro (67'), Galvez (85')
Aug 26, 2017 9.15pm
Las Palmas
1-5
Atletico
Calleri (58')
Hernan (14'), Bigas (24'), Gonzalez (39'), Viera (62')
Correa (3'), Carrasco (5'), Koke (62', 75'), Partey (88')
Vietto (39')
Apr 29, 2017 5.30pm
Las Palmas
0-5
Atletico

Boateng (6'), Jese (32'), Halilovic (56')
Boateng (65')
Gameiro (2', 18'), Niguez (17'), Partey (72'), Torres (91')
Niguez (14'), Savic (31'), Gaitan (61'), Partey (89')
Jan 10, 2017 8.15pm
Round Five
Atletico
2-3
Las Palmas
Griezmann (49'), Correa (61')
Correa (35'), Lucas (45'), Gabi (69')
Livaja (58', 89'), Ezequiel Garcia (93')
Cabrera Momo (50')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona14111242142834
2Atletico MadridAtletico148512181329
3Real Madrid1283125111427
4Villarreal127322319424
5GironaGirona146352018221
6Mallorca146351312121
7Osasuna136341720-321
8Athletic Bilbao135531913620
9Real BetisBetis145541616020
10Real Sociedad135351110118
11Celta Vigo145362224-218
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves144191524-913
17Las PalmasLas Palmas143381825-712
18Valencia122461219-710
19Espanyol133191226-1410
20Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179


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