Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Granada had a probability of 18.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Granada |
59.37% ( -0.26) | 21.98% ( 0.14) | 18.65% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 52.7% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.72% ( -0.41) | 45.28% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.38% ( -0.39) | 67.62% ( 0.39) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.12% ( -0.22) | 14.88% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.78% ( -0.42) | 43.22% ( 0.42) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.91% ( -0.1) | 38.09% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.14% ( -0.1) | 74.86% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Granada |
1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.58% Total : 59.36% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.98% | 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 18.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |