League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 29
Sep 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
Dundalk1 - 3Derry
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Derry City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shamrock 1-0 Dundalk
Friday, August 25 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, August 25 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
40
Last Game: Bohemians 2-2 Derry
Friday, August 25 at 8.30pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, August 25 at 8.30pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
38
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Derry City |
38.03% ( -0.07) | 27.08% ( -0.02) | 34.89% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.58% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
