Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
Derry1 - 0Tobol
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Tobol win 6-5 on penalties
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Derry City and Tobol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derry 3-0 Drogheda
Sunday, August 13 at 6.30pm in League of Ireland Premier
Sunday, August 13 at 6.30pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
36
Last Game: Tobol 1-0 Derry
Thursday, August 10 at 3pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 10 at 3pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 71.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Tobol had a probability of 9.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.05%) and 3-0 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Tobol win it was 0-1 (4.12%).
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Tobol |
71.86% ( 0.83) | 18.49% ( -0.45) | 9.65% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 40.05% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
