UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))

Derry
1 - 0
Tobol

(agg: -)

Patching (15' pen.)
O'Reilly (69'), Duffy (90+5')

FT
(aet)

Deble (14'), Kairov (72'), Asrankulov (86'), Rogac (104'), Mullen (116'), Mladovic (118')

Tobol win 6-5 on penalties

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Derry City and Tobol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Derry 3-0 Drogheda
Sunday, August 13 at 6.30pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Tobol

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Tobol 1-0 Derry
Thursday, August 10 at 3pm in Europa Conference League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Shamrock	50	1.85	Burke
2	St Patrick's	49	1.81	Forrester
3	Bohemians	41	1.52	Afolabi
4	Dundalk	40	1.48	Hoban
5	Derry	36	1.38	McEneff
6	Shelbourne	30	1.11	Moylan
7	Sligo	30	1.11	Mata
8	Drogheda	29	1.07	Draper
9	Cork City	28	1.04	Keating
10	UCD	15	0.58	Kinsella-Bishop

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 71.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Tobol had a probability of 9.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.05%) and 3-0 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Tobol win it was 0-1 (4.12%).

Result
Derry City	Draw	Tobol
71.86% ( 0.83)	18.49% ( -0.45)	9.65% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 40.05% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.58% (

0.78)

49.42% (

-0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.54% (

0.7)

71.46% (

-0.7)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.59% (

0.47)

12.41% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.69% (

0.97)

38.31% (

-0.97)

Tobol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.73% (

-0.3)

54.27% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.56% (

-0.18)

87.44% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Derry City 71.85%

Tobol 9.65%

Draw 18.49%

Derry City	Draw	Tobol
2-0 @ 14.66% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 14.05% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.7% Total : 71.85%	1-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.42% Total : 18.49%	0-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.65% Total : 9.65%