Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 17.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.