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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Accrington
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Leigh (51'), Astley (79')
Coyle (38'), Rodgers (55'), Martin (86'), Hamilton (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sinclair (25'), Finley (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-3 Bristol Rovers

On the back of only one league victory in their last 11 matches, we can predict playoff candidates Bristol Rovers moving closer to the top six with a hard-fought win over Accrington Stanley at The Crowd Ground on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawBristol Rovers
35.73% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 25.41% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 38.86% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 56.21% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.39% (-0.113 -0.11)47.6% (0.109 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19% (-0.105 -0.11)69.81% (0.10100000000001 0.1)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.12% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)25.88% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.14% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)60.86% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)24.15% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.52% (-0.131 -0.13)58.47% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 35.73%
    Bristol Rovers 38.86%
    Draw 25.4%
Accrington StanleyDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 8.45% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.71% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 35.73%
1-1 @ 12% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 8.88% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.31% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 38.86%

How you voted: Accrington vs Bristol Rovers

Accrington Stanley
27.3%
Draw
18.2%
Bristol Rovers
54.5%
11
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Accrington
6-1
Bristol Rovers
Pritchard (8'), Charles (12', 17', 70'), Bishop (28', 48')
Pritchard (7'), McConville (44')
Nicholson (11')
Williams (61')
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Bristol Rovers
3-3
Accrington
Rodman (4'), Clarke-Harris (41', 63')
Clarke (52'), Clarke-Harris (73')
Clark (18'), Finley (20'), Charles (77' pen.)
Conneely (10')
Conneely (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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