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League One
Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Port Vale

Northampton
2 - 0
Port Vale

Pinnock (34'), McWilliams (90+4')
Burge (78'), McWilliams (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Garrity (16'), Weir (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Reading 1-0 Northampton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 0-2 Port Vale

 Northampton may be 14 points better off than their opponents, but the momentum is with Port Vale following consecutive victories without conceding. With the Valiants closing in on safety, we think that they will continue their recent form by claiming an away win over a Northampton side that has lost three of their last four games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawPort Vale
39.2% (0.052 0.05) 26.61% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 34.18% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 51.95% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.03% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)52.96% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.43% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)74.56% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)26.42% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41% (0.017000000000003 0.02)61.59% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.61% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)29.39% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.62% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)65.38% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 39.2%
    Port Vale 34.18%
    Draw 26.61%
Northampton TownDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.33% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.88% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.05% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.2%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 7.77% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 9.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 34.18%

How you voted: Northampton vs Port Vale

Northampton Town
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Port Vale
50.0%
16
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Port Vale
1-0
Northampton
Garrity (84')
Chislett (53')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Port Vale
0-0
Northampton
Martin (65')
Lewis (52'), McWilliams (63'), Lubala (82')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
Northampton
1-0
Port Vale
Ashley-Seal (23')
Guthrie (71'), McGowan (73'), Connolly (77'), Rose (79')

Johnson (27'), Martin (81')
Conlon (55')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 32
Northampton
0-1
Port Vale

Anderson (44'), Hoskins (45')
Worrall (72')
Montano (44'), Clark (49'), Conlon (76'), Gibbons (84')
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 2
Port Vale
1-1
Northampton
Amoo (26')
Joyce (43')
Watson (45')
Martin (36'), Goode (45'), Smith (61'), Bunney (74'), Hoskins (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham8710178922
2Wrexham9522147717
3Mansfield TownMansfield85211511417
4Stockport CountyStockport8431137615
5Lincoln CityLincoln8431137615
6Blackpool94321714315
7Barnsley94321513215
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe84221613314
9Stevenage942375214
10Exeter CityExeter841396313
11Bolton WanderersBolton84131313013
12Reading84131212013
13Charlton AthleticCharlton941499013
14Wigan AthleticWigan933395412
15Huddersfield TownHuddersfield94051211112
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough93241417-311
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham9243710-310
18Bristol Rovers93151015-510
19Northampton TownNorthampton82241013-38
20Leyton Orient9225912-38
21Crawley TownCrawley8215512-77
22Burton Albion8044916-74
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury9117615-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge8017616-101
> League One Full Table


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