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League One
Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Port Vale

Northampton
2 - 0
Port Vale

Pinnock (34'), McWilliams (90+4')
Burge (78'), McWilliams (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Garrity (16'), Weir (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Reading 1-0 Northampton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 0-2 Port Vale

 Northampton may be 14 points better off than their opponents, but the momentum is with Port Vale following consecutive victories without conceding. With the Valiants closing in on safety, we think that they will continue their recent form by claiming an away win over a Northampton side that has lost three of their last four games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawPort Vale
39.2% (0.052 0.05) 26.61% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 34.18% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 51.95% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.03% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)52.96% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.43% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)74.56% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)26.42% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41% (0.017000000000003 0.02)61.59% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.61% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)29.39% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.62% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)65.38% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 39.2%
    Port Vale 34.18%
    Draw 26.61%
Northampton TownDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.33% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.88% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.05% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.2%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 7.77% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 9.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 34.18%

How you voted: Northampton vs Port Vale

Northampton Town
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Port Vale
50.0%
16
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Port Vale
1-0
Northampton
Garrity (84')
Chislett (53')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Port Vale
0-0
Northampton
Martin (65')
Lewis (52'), McWilliams (63'), Lubala (82')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
Northampton
1-0
Port Vale
Ashley-Seal (23')
Guthrie (71'), McGowan (73'), Connolly (77'), Rose (79')

Johnson (27'), Martin (81')
Conlon (55')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 32
Northampton
0-1
Port Vale

Anderson (44'), Hoskins (45')
Worrall (72')
Montano (44'), Clark (49'), Conlon (76'), Gibbons (84')
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 2
Port Vale
1-1
Northampton
Amoo (26')
Joyce (43')
Watson (45')
Martin (36'), Goode (45'), Smith (61'), Bunney (74'), Hoskins (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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