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League One
Fleetwood Town
League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Northampton Town

Fleetwood
2 - 0
Northampton

Omochere (5'), Lawal (30')
Mayor (65'), Broom (71'), Lawal (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

McGowan (17'), Bowie (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Last Game: Blackpool 1-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Fleetwood Town 0-2 Northampton Town

 While the hosts certainly have far more to play for in Saturday's contest, it is the Cobblers who are enjoying an impressive end to the campaign while Fleetwood are failing to build any momentum in their unlikely survival bid. Despite home advantage and the need for three points, we envisage Charlie Adam's side succumbing to another defeat at Highbury at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawNorthampton Town
50.21% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12) 23.57% (0.037000000000003 0.04) 26.21% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Both teams to score 57.64% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.42% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)43.58% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.03% (-0.1 -0.1)65.97% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.55% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)17.45% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.08% (-0.143 -0.14)47.91% (0.14299999999999 0.14)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)30.17% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.68% (0.009999999999998 0.01)66.32% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 50.21%
    Northampton Town 26.21%
    Draw 23.57%
Fleetwood TownDrawNorthampton Town
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.67% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 50.21%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.26% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 6.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.31% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.78% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 26.21%

Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Northampton
3-0
Fleetwood
Pinnock (27', 90'), Hoskins (31' pen.)
Bowie (49')

Mayor (22')
> Preview
Jan 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Fleetwood
0-0
Northampton
Morris (88')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Northampton
1-0
Fleetwood
Bolger (47')
Sowerby (13'), McWilliams (43'), Harriman (60'), Arnold (90+3')

Coutts (8'), Camps (34'), Whelan (66')
Mar 24, 2018 3pm
Fleetwood
2-0
Northampton
Dempsey (18'), Bolger (83')
Sowerby (70')

Luckassen (90')
Aug 12, 2017 3pm
Northampton
0-1
Fleetwood
Cole (75')
Eastham (66'), O'Neill (79')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
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24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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