League One

League One | Gameweek 44

Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

Highbury Stadium

Fleetwood
2 - 0
Northampton

Omochere (5'), Lawal (30')
Mayor (65'), Broom (71'), Lawal (84')

FT(HT: 2-0)

McGowan (17'), Bowie (80')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

Last Game: Blackpool 1-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Northampton 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fleetwood Town 0-2 Northampton Town

While the hosts certainly have far more to play for in Saturday's contest, it is the Cobblers who are enjoying an impressive end to the campaign while Fleetwood are failing to build any momentum in their unlikely survival bid. Despite home advantage and the need for three points, we envisage Charlie Adam's side succumbing to another defeat at Highbury at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood Town	Draw	Northampton Town
50.21% ( -0.12)	23.57% ( 0.04)	26.21% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 57.64% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.42% (

-0.1)

43.58% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.03% (

-0.1)

65.97% (

0.1)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.55% (

-0.08)

17.45% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.08% (

-0.14)

47.91% (

0.14)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.83% (

0.01)

30.17% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.68% (

0.01)

66.32% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Fleetwood Town 50.21%

Northampton Town 26.21%

Draw 23.57%

Fleetwood Town	Draw	Northampton Town
2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.83% Total : 50.21%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.57%	1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 26.21%