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Championship header 2

League One
Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Carlisle United

Northampton
2 - 0
Carlisle

Bowie (33'), Koiki (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 2-0 Port Vale
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Lincoln
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 2-0 Carlisle United

 Devoid of any confidence and all but condemned to the drop having fallen short of the required standard for survival for the entirety of the campaign thus far, we cannot envisage Carlisle prevailing at Sixfields at the weekend and instead anticipate a home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Northampton Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Northampton Town.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCarlisle United
45.02% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 25.68% (0.00099999999999767 0) 29.3% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.29% (0.0020000000000024 0)50.7% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.39% (0.0019999999999989 0)72.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)22.48% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.97% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)56.03% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.43% (0.012 0.01)31.57% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02)67.97% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 45.02%
    Carlisle United 29.3%
    Draw 25.68%
Northampton TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 45.02%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.18% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 7.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 29.3%

How you voted: Northampton vs Carlisle

Northampton Town
100%
Draw
0.0%
Carlisle United
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Carlisle
2-2
Northampton
Armer (67'), Edmondson (81')
McWilliams (30'), Bowie (90+3')
Brough (34'), Bowie (69')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Carlisle
0-0
Northampton
Dec 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Northampton
2-1
Carlisle
Sherring (53'), Appere (56')
Armer (50')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Carlisle
2-1
Northampton
Sho-Silva (74'), Gibson (90+4' pen.)
Riley (80')
Lewis (79')
McWilliams (31'), Horsfall (56'), Pinnock (80')
Oct 30, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 15
Northampton
3-0
Carlisle
Lewis (41', 57', 67' pen.)

Armer (66'), Guy (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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