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League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Exeter City

Bolton
2 - 0
Exeter

Bradley (8'), Charles (26')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sparkes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 4-0 Man Utd U21s
Tuesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Exeter City

 We think that Bolton will narrowly come out on top and keep their push for promotion from League One on the right track. The hosts are in better form, and we think they will create plenty of opportunities here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 62.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 16.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawExeter City
62.99% (0.311 0.31) 20.87% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 16.14% (-0.251 -0.25)
Both teams to score 51.26% (-0.366 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.35% (-0.203 -0.2)44.65% (0.205 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.99% (-0.196 -0.2)67.01% (0.19800000000001 0.2)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.45% (0.028999999999996 0.03)13.55% (-0.028 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.37% (0.056000000000004 0.06)40.63% (-0.055 -0.05)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.29% (-0.442 -0.44)40.71% (0.443 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.7% (-0.399 -0.4)77.3% (0.40000000000001 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 62.98%
    Exeter City 16.14%
    Draw 20.87%
Bolton WanderersDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 11.02% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 11.01% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.34% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.67% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.47% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 62.98%
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.51% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 1%
Total : 20.87%
0-1 @ 4.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.23% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 16.14%

How you voted: Bolton vs Exeter

Bolton Wanderers
64.3%
Draw
21.4%
Exeter City
14.3%
14
Head to Head
May 1, 2021 3pm
Bolton
1-2
Exeter
Jones (15')
Baptiste (32'), Williams (37')
Williams (49'), Sweeney (90+6')
Key (27'), Hartridge (29'), Willmott (42'), Taylor (79'), Sparkes (84')
Jan 12, 2021 7pm
Exeter
1-1
Bolton
Santos (62' og.)
Atangana (67')
Gnahoua (73')
Sarcevic (53'), Brockbank (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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