League One

League One | Gameweek 22

Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
2 - 0
Exeter

Bradley (8'), Charles (26')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Sparkes (90+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bolton 4-0 Man Utd U21s
Tuesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Exeter City

We think that Bolton will narrowly come out on top and keep their push for promotion from League One on the right track. The hosts are in better form, and we think they will create plenty of opportunities here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 62.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 16.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Exeter City
62.99% ( 0.31)	20.87% ( -0.06)	16.14% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 51.26% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.35% (

-0.2)

44.65% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.99% (

-0.2)

67.01% (

0.2)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.45% (

0.03)

13.55% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.37% (

0.06)

40.63% (

-0.05)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.29% (

-0.44)

40.71% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.7% (

-0.4)

77.3% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 62.98%

Exeter City 16.14%

Draw 20.87%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 62.98%	1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.06) Other @ 1% Total : 20.87%	0-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.84% Total : 16.14%