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League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Exeter City

Bolton
2 - 0
Exeter

Bradley (8'), Charles (26')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sparkes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 4-0 Man Utd U21s
Tuesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Exeter City

 We think that Bolton will narrowly come out on top and keep their push for promotion from League One on the right track. The hosts are in better form, and we think they will create plenty of opportunities here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 62.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 16.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawExeter City
62.99% (0.311 0.31) 20.87% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 16.14% (-0.251 -0.25)
Both teams to score 51.26% (-0.366 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.35% (-0.203 -0.2)44.65% (0.205 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.99% (-0.196 -0.2)67.01% (0.19800000000001 0.2)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.45% (0.028999999999996 0.03)13.55% (-0.028 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.37% (0.056000000000004 0.06)40.63% (-0.055 -0.05)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.29% (-0.442 -0.44)40.71% (0.443 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.7% (-0.399 -0.4)77.3% (0.40000000000001 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 62.98%
    Exeter City 16.14%
    Draw 20.87%
Bolton WanderersDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 11.02% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 11.01% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.34% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.67% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.47% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 62.98%
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.51% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 1%
Total : 20.87%
0-1 @ 4.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.23% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 16.14%

How you voted: Bolton vs Exeter

Bolton Wanderers
64.3%
Draw
21.4%
Exeter City
14.3%
14
Head to Head
May 1, 2021 3pm
Bolton
1-2
Exeter
Jones (15')
Baptiste (32'), Williams (37')
Williams (49'), Sweeney (90+6')
Key (27'), Hartridge (29'), Willmott (42'), Taylor (79'), Sparkes (84')
Jan 12, 2021 7pm
Exeter
1-1
Bolton
Santos (62' og.)
Atangana (67')
Gnahoua (73')
Sarcevic (53'), Brockbank (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138
> League One Full Table


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