Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Exeter City |
28.54% ( 0.04) | 26.12% ( 0.02) | 45.34% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 51.22% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.14% ( -0.05) | 52.86% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.53% ( -0.04) | 74.47% ( 0.05) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.74% ( 0) | 33.26% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.13% ( 0) | 69.87% ( 0) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.75% ( -0.05) | 23.25% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.83% ( -0.07) | 57.16% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.84% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 28.54% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 45.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |