FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round

Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
4 - 1
Exeter

Taylor (9'), Bodin (79', 88'), Brannagan (85')
McGuane (51'), Taylor (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Jay (89')
Hartridge (22'), Sparkes (37'), Key (71')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Oxford United and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, November 19 at 12pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Exeter City

Oxford are six unbeaten in League One but have failed to earn enough maximums to be competing at the top end of the third tier and looked very unconvincing against Forest Green last time out. Exeter have shown they possess the firepower to comfortably survive this season and it could be a case of Brown's brilliance securing them passage to the third round of the FA Cup on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.37%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Exeter City
48.37% ( 0.02)	24.22% ( -0)	27.4% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 56.48% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.41% (

0.02)

45.59% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.08% (

0.01)

67.91% (

-0.01)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.06% (

0.01)

18.94% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.55% (

0.02)

50.45% (

-0.02)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.68% (

30.32% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.5% (

66.5%

Score Analysis

Oxford United 48.37%

Exeter City 27.4%

Draw 24.22%

Oxford United	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 48.37%	1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.22%	0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 27.4%