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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 12.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Cambridge United |
68.7% ( -0.1) | 18.67% ( 0.02) | 12.63% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 49.43% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.65% ( 0.11) | 42.35% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.25% ( 0.11) | 64.75% ( -0.11) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.75% ( 0.01) | 11.25% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.16% ( 0.01) | 35.83% ( -0.01) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.7% ( 0.2) | 44.3% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.63% ( 0.16) | 80.37% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Cambridge United |
2-0 @ 11.89% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 10.88% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.75% Total : 68.69% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.87% Total : 18.67% | 0-1 @ 4.06% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.26% Total : 12.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |