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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 12.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Cambridge United |
68.7% ( -0.1) | 18.67% ( 0.02) | 12.63% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 49.43% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.65% ( 0.11) | 42.35% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.25% ( 0.11) | 64.75% ( -0.11) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.75% ( 0.01) | 11.25% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.16% ( 0.01) | 35.83% ( -0.01) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.7% ( 0.2) | 44.3% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.63% ( 0.16) | 80.37% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Cambridge United |
2-0 @ 11.89% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 10.88% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.75% Total : 68.69% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.87% Total : 18.67% | 0-1 @ 4.06% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.26% Total : 12.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |