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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Exeter City |
42.8% (![]() | 24.79% (![]() | 32.42% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.49% (![]() | 45.51% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.16% (![]() | 67.84% (![]() |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.7% (![]() | 21.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.75% (![]() | 54.25% (![]() |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.14% (![]() | 26.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.83% (![]() | 62.17% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Exeter City |
2-1 @ 8.99% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.85% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.84% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.63% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 42.8% | 1-1 @ 11.63% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.72% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 7.65% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.52% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.95% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |