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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Exeter City |
42.8% ( -0.62) | 24.79% ( 0.17) | 32.42% ( 0.45) |
Both teams to score 57.56% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.49% ( -0.62) | 45.51% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.16% ( -0.59) | 67.84% ( 0.59) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.7% ( -0.54) | 21.31% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.75% ( -0.84) | 54.25% ( 0.85) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.14% ( -0.02) | 26.86% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.83% ( -0.02) | 62.17% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Exeter City |
2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.58% Total : 42.8% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |