Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 47.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 25.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.